When bond yields start shouting, stock investors probably need to listen. 😅
We spend a lot of time watching stocks. But right now, I think we need to keep one eye on bonds too.
The US 10-year Treasury yield is now above 5%, the highest since 2007. Oil is still above US$100, and the market is increasingly wondering whether the Fed may have another hike in them.
Not exactly the most comfortable combination. 😅
Higher oil can add to inflation. Higher yields mean borrowing costs stay high. And if rates stay higher for longer, stocks will feel it too, especially some of the more expensive growth and tech names.
But here’s the interesting part.
Everyone is looking at roughly the same global worries, yet Asian markets are behaving quite differently.
Japan had some support from AI and semiconductor stocks, together with a weaker yen. Hong Kong tech was softer.
Singapore?
Quite boring actually. 😂
The STI spent much of the week trading within a relatively narrow range, before climbing back above 5,700 on Friday.
And that's probably because Singapore is a different animal.
We have much more weight in banks, REITs and defensive sectors. So the same news that gets Tokyo or Hong Kong excited, or worried, may not move us in quite the same way.
Same oil.
Same interest rates.
Same global worries.
But very different markets.
Sometimes it is not just about whether the market is green or red. Understanding why one market reacts differently from another can tell us quite a bit too.
Thanks to Lianhe Zaobao 联合早报 Senior Business News Correspondent Lewis Ong (早报财经新闻资深高级记者王阳发) for putting together this piece and helping readers make sense of another interesting week across the regional markets. 🙏
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市场谨慎面对各地国债收益率高涨 新加坡海指周五回升0.49%投资情绪因各地国债收益率高涨而保持谨慎,随着纽约隔夜股市持稳,亚太股市星期五(9月25日)在日本领涨的情况下回升,全天窄幅波动的新加坡海峡时报指数也回升0.49%或27.75点,重回5700点以上,闭市报5711.12点,全周回涨0.97%,结束了创下历史高位后连续两周的回调。 WWW.ZAOBAO.COM.SG |